Juan Luis Eugenio-Martin

Head of EITT Research Group (EITT Research Group)                  My CV: [Link]

Lecturer in Economics

Researcher in Tourism Economics


Editorial Board Member of Tourism Economics

Editorial Board Member of Journal of Sustainable Tourism




Phone: +34 928 458205

E-mail: juanluis.eugenio @ ulpgc.es

Last paper

Previous paper


Work in progress

Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and U. Perez-Granja (2022)


Quantifying the net impact and redistribution effects of airlines' exits on passenger traffic



This paper studies the impact of airlines’ exits on passenger traffic. In this regard, univariate and multivariate structural time series have been applied. They have proved useful to quantify the net impact on passenger traffic and redistribution effects among incumbent airlines. As an application, a natural experiment is studied, in which two relevant airlines filed for bankruptcy in different periods. In the first, policymakers employed a laissez faire strategy, whereas in the second, they applied an incentive scheme programme. The programme was based on the support of destination promotion, tax and tariff discounts. Overall, the paper shows that under laissez faire, the incumbent airlines did not take over the passenger traffic left by the airline that exited the route. However, in the second case, following approval of the incentive scheme, the loss of passengers was mitigated by the incumbent airlines..



Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and U. Perez-Granja (2021)


Have low cost carriers crowded out full services and charter carriers in tourism destinations? A trivariate structural time series analysis



Long haul tourist arrivals depend on the airline market, its size and the degree of competition. This paper studies the entry and exit of full service carriers (FSC), charter carriers (CC) and low cost carriers (LCC) from two origins: UK and Germany; and five sun and beach Spanish destinations. The relationship among all kinds of airlines is captured with a trivariate structural time series model which allows for disentangling the airlines responses under common shocks of airlines entry and/or exit. It provides estimates of immediate responses as well as indicators of responses over time. The results show that in the British market, the LCC entry has crowded out FSC as well as CC. However, in the German market, the results are heterogeneous and, overall, they do not support the existence of such crowding out effect.



8th IATE 2022 at University of Perpignan (France): [Link]


IATE webpage: [Link]


Papers in progress:

1. On Airbnb entry phenomenon

2. On the impact of Covid19 on tourism demand (with J.M. Cazorla, A. Moreda, J.M. Munguia and A. Risso)

3. On complementarity and substitutability of tourist attractions (with Estefania Sanchez)

4. On the impact of airlines' exit in tourism destination (with Ubay Pérez)

5. On the spatial and time decay impacts of events (with J.M. Cazorla)

6. On the optimal targeting of latent tourism demand segments (with J.M. Cazorla)

7. On the differences between CGE and CBA in project evaluation (with F. Inchausti, J.M. Cazorla and U. Pérez)

8. On the substitution patterns between urban transportation modes (with Manuel Ojeda)

9. On the economic valuation of tourism rejuvenation (with B. Kriström)

10. On the economic valuation of forest secuestration (with B. Kriström and F. Inchausti)

11. On the economic valuation of time savings with CGE models (with F. Inchausti, J.M. Cazorla and U. Pérez)

12. On repeat visits phenomenon with asymmetric distributions (with José Mª Pérez and Jorge Pérez)

13. On the use of panel data in tourism research: Past, present and future (with R. Patuelli)



Research interests


Tourism Economics. In particular: Determinants of tourism demand; Forecasting; Economic impacts assessment; Optimal tourism development; and Sustainable Tourism.


Methodologies of interest: Microeconometrics; Structural Time Series; Panel data; Multicriteria decision making; Structural equations modelling; and Computable general equilibrium.



Key publications:


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and F. Inchausti-Sintes (2016) "Low-cost travelling and tourism expenditures", Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 57: 140-159. [On-line paper]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and J.A. Campos-Soria (2014) “Economic crisis and tourism expenditure cutback decision”, Annals of Tourism Research, Vol. 44: 53-73. [On-line paper]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and J.A. Campos-Soria (2010) "Climate in the region of origin and destination choice in outbound tourism demand", Tourism Management, Vol. 31(6): 744-753. [On-line paper]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L., N. Martin-Morales and R. Scarpa (2004) "Tourism and economic growth in Latin American countries: a panel data approach". Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) Working Paper No. 26.2004. [via SSRN] [via IDEAS] [via EconPapers]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. (2003) "Modelling determinants of tourism demand as a five-stage process: A discrete choice methodological approach", Tourism and Hospitality Research, Vol. 4 (4): 341-354. [Pre-print version] [On-line paper]


This version: March 2022