Phone: +34 928 458205
E-mail: juanluis.eugenio @ ulpgc.es
Work in progress
Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and U. Perez-Granja (2022)
Quantifying the net impact and redistribution effects of airlines' exits on passenger traffic
This paper studies the impact of airlines’ exits on passenger traffic. In this regard, univariate and multivariate structural time series have been applied. They have proved useful to quantify the net impact on passenger traffic and redistribution effects among incumbent airlines. As an application, a natural experiment is studied, in which two relevant airlines filed for bankruptcy in different periods. In the first, policymakers employed a laissez faire strategy, whereas in the second, they applied an incentive scheme programme. The programme was based on the support of destination promotion, tax and tariff discounts. Overall, the paper shows that under laissez faire, the incumbent airlines did not take over the passenger traffic left by the airline that exited the route. However, in the second case, following approval of the incentive scheme, the loss of passengers was mitigated by the incumbent airlines. [Paper]
Cazorla-Artiles, J.M. and J.L. Eugenio-Martin (2023)
Optimal targeting of latent tourism demand segments
This paper identifies for the first time the optimal target markets employing the latent
tourism demand expenditure, a novel concept in tourism literature. The study quantifies
latent tourism demand between each pair of origin-destination through distinguishing
by type of tourism and seasonality. It works with market shares that are estimated via a
fractional regression model. Moreover, latent demand is clustered using a market
segmentation approach based on a latent class regression. Finally, the optimal target
markets are chosen depending on the expected latent tourism expenditure. The result
has clear policy implications in terms of which markets are promoted, the optimal
channels of communication and the maximum budget for each marketing campaign. [Forthcoming]
Tourism Economics. In particular: Determinants of tourism demand; Forecasting; Economic impacts assessment; Optimal tourism development; and Sustainable Tourism.
Methodologies of interest: Microeconometrics; Panel data; Structural time series; and Computable general equilibrium.
¿Cómo puedo montar una base de datos en Stata? Herramientas para:
8th IATE 2022 was held at Perpignan: [Link]
9th IATE 2024 yet to be announced.
This version: October 2022